Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000028 0.000029 0.000031 0.000033 0.000035 0.000038
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000026 0.000029 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000043
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.000023 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000051
2025-11-23 0.000018 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055
2025-11-30 0.000017 0.000021 0.000025 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000057
2025-12-07 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058
2025-12-14 0.000015 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058
2025-12-21 0.000014 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000059
2025-12-28 0.000013 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000044 0.000059
2026-01-04 0.000013 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000060
2026-01-11 0.000012 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062
2026-01-18 0.000012 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000047 0.000066
2026-01-25 0.000012 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000069
2026-02-01 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000049 0.000070
2026-02-08 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000071
2026-02-15 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000051 0.000075
2026-02-22 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000052 0.000078
2026-03-01 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000051 0.000078
2026-03-08 0.000009 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034 0.000050 0.000077
2026-03-15 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000050 0.000077
2026-03-22 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000022 0.000033 0.000049 0.000076